Real Betis vs Real Sociedad Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 21 Aug 2026 · La Liga
1 53%
Home Win 1.9
X 22%
Draw 4.61
2 26%
Away Win 3.88
xG Home 2.00
xG Away 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 64%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Betis an expected 2.0 goals and Real Sociedad an expected 1.3 goals. Real Betis have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Real Sociedad at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.5%
2:1 9.5%
1:0 7%
2:0 7%
1:2 6.4%
2:2 6.4%
3:1 6.3%
0:1 4.7%
3:0 4.7%
3:2 4.3%
0:0 3.5%
0:2 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Real Betis Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Real Betis Real Sociedad
5 League Position 10
60 Points 46
39% Win % 29%
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61

Venue Form

Real Betis at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Real Sociedad Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Real Betis
W W D
Real Sociedad
D L D