1
25%
Home Win
4.03
X
23%
Draw
4.26
2
52%
Away Win
1.93
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.76
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Betis an expected 1.1 goals and Real Madrid an expected 1.8 goals. Real Betis have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Real Madrid at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
1:2
9.7%
0:1
9.6%
0:2
8.5%
2:1
6.3%
1:0
6.3%
1:3
5.7%
2:2
5.6%
0:0
5.5%
0:3
5%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Real Betis | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 2 |
| 60 | Points | 86 |
| 39% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.03 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Real Betis at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Real Madrid Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Real Betis
W
W
D
Real Madrid
L
W
D
