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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City — Prediction

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
0 – 3
Most likely score (model)
Wed, 04 Nov 2026 · Champions League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Manchester City Manchester City

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

RB Leipzig
  • FC Schalke 04 0–2 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV
  • Como 4–1 RB Leipzig
Manchester City
  • Manchester City 0–1 Brighton
  • Manchester City 2–2 Brighton
  • Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City
  • Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland
  • Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: RB Leipzig 3 · Manchester City 3. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Manchester City 71% · 2026-11-03 22:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.93
Model goal expectation · 2 3.84
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
BTTS 59%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: RB Leipzig 0.93 · Manchester City 3.84.
1 5% · X 8% · 2 87%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:3 8%
0:4 7.7%
1:3 7.4%
1:4 7.1%
0:2 6.2%
1:2 5.8%
2:3 3.5%
2:4 3.3%
0:1 3.2%
1:1 3%
2:2 2.7%
2:1 1.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Manchester City Win
Probability 87%
Predicted Odds 1.15

Team Comparison

RB Leipzig Manchester City
29 League Position 13
3 Points 6
33% Win % 67%
1 Avg Goals Scored 3
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

RB Leipzig at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Manchester City Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
W W L W L
Manchester City
L D L W W

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