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Fenerbahce vs Liverpool — Prediction

Fenerbahce Fenerbahce
1 – 4
Most likely score (model)
Wed, 04 Nov 2026 · Champions League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Liverpool Liverpool

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Fenerbahce
  • Fenerbahce 1–2 Goztepe
  • Galatasaray 2–1 Fenerbahce
  • Fenerbahce 8–0 Eyüpspor
  • Gazişehir Gaziantep 0–0 Fenerbahce
  • Fenerbahce 1–1 AS Roma
Liverpool
  • Liverpool 0–1 Arsenal
  • Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
  • Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
  • Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool
  • Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Fenerbahce 3 · Liverpool 3. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Liverpool 82% · 2026-11-03 22:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.31
Model goal expectation · 2 5.00
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
BTTS 72%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Fenerbahce 1.31 · Liverpool 5.00.
1 4% · X 5% · 2 91%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:4 6.2%
1:3 5%
0:4 4.8%
2:4 4.1%
0:3 3.8%
2:3 3.2%
1:2 3%
0:2 2.3%
2:2 1.9%
3:4 1.8%
3:3 1.4%
1:1 1.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Liverpool Win
Probability 91%
Predicted Odds 1.1

Team Comparison

Fenerbahce Liverpool
31 League Position 4
2 Points 9
0% Win % 100%
1 Avg Goals Scored 4
3 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33

Venue Form

Fenerbahce at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Liverpool Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Fenerbahce
L L W D D
Liverpool
L D W W W

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