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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis — Prediction

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Wed, 04 Nov 2026 · Champions League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Real Betis Real Betis

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Borussia Dortmund
  • Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07
  • Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal
Real Betis
  • Real Betis 2–1 Malaga
  • Celta de Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
  • Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Real Betis
  • Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis
  • Lille 2–3 Real Betis
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Borussia Dortmund 3 · Real Betis 3. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Real Betis 45% · 2026-11-03 22:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.24
Model goal expectation · 2 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 55%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Borussia Dortmund 1.24 · Real Betis 1.49.
1 32% · X 25% · 2 43%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12%
0:1 9.7%
1:2 9%
1:0 8.1%
2:1 7.5%
0:2 7.2%
0:0 6.5%
2:2 5.6%
2:0 5%
1:3 4.5%
0:3 3.6%
3:1 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Real Betis Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33

Team Comparison

Borussia Dortmund Real Betis
17 League Position 7
6 Points 9
67% Win % 100%
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33

Venue Form

Borussia Dortmund at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Real Betis Away
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund
D W W W W
Real Betis
W D D W W

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