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Lens vs Como — Prediction

Lens Lens
0 – 3
Most likely score (model)
Wed, 04 Nov 2026 · Champions League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Como Como

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lens
  • Lille 1–0 Lens
  • Lens 2–1 Paris FC
  • Monaco 2–1 Lens
  • Le Mans 2–2 Lens
  • Slavia Praha 2–3 Lens
Como
  • Como 1–0 Venezia
  • Torino 1–3 Como
  • Como 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Fiorentina 1–3 Como
  • Frosinone 2–0 Como
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lens 3 · Como 3. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Como 75% · 2026-11-03 22:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.93
Model goal expectation · 2 3.73
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
BTTS 59%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lens 0.93 · Como 3.73.
1 5% · X 8% · 2 86%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:3 8.2%
0:4 7.6%
1:3 7.6%
1:4 7.1%
0:2 6.6%
1:2 6.1%
2:3 3.6%
0:1 3.5%
2:4 3.3%
1:1 3.3%
2:2 2.9%
2:1 1.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Como Win
Probability 86%
Predicted Odds 1.16

Team Comparison

Lens Como
26 League Position 12
3 Points 6
33% Win % 67%
1 Avg Goals Scored 3.33
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Lens at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Como Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Lens
L W L D W
Como
W W W W L

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