1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
29%
Draw
3.46
2
27%
Away Win
3.75
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.3 goals and Espanyol an expected 0.9 goals. Rayo Vallecano have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Espanyol at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.5%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.6%
0:1
10.5%
2:0
9.1%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.8%
2:2
3.7%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rayo Vallecano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 50 | Points | 46 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Rayo Vallecano at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Espanyol Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
W
D
D
W
Espanyol
L
L
