1
85%
Home Win
1.18
X
9%
Draw
11.71
2
5%
Away Win
19.72
xG Home
3.68
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PSV Eindhoven an expected 3.7 goals and Sparta Rotterdam an expected 0.9 goals. PSV Eindhoven have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Sparta Rotterdam at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
8.4%
4:0
7.8%
3:1
7.7%
4:1
7.1%
2:0
6.9%
2:1
6.2%
1:0
3.7%
3:2
3.5%
1:1
3.4%
4:2
3.2%
2:2
2.8%
1:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| PSV Eindhoven | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 10 |
| 84 | Points | 43 |
| 79% | Win % | 35% |
| 2.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
Venue Form
PSV Eindhoven at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Sparta Rotterdam Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven
W
W
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L
