1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.0 goals and Groningen an expected 1.3 goals. NEC Nijmegen have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Groningen at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.6%
1:1
9.4%
2:0
7.3%
1:0
7.2%
3:1
6.5%
2:2
6.3%
1:2
6.1%
3:0
5%
0:1
4.6%
3:2
4.3%
0:0
3.5%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| NEC Nijmegen | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 59 | Points | 48 |
| 47% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
NEC Nijmegen at Home
W0
D4
L0
(4 games)
Groningen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
D
D
D
D
Groningen
D
L
L
