1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.61
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
BTTS
74%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PSV Eindhoven an expected 2.6 goals and Feyenoord an expected 1.6 goals. PSV Eindhoven have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Feyenoord at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.1%
3:1
7.1%
2:2
6.4%
1:1
6.2%
3:2
5.6%
2:0
5.1%
1:2
4.9%
4:1
4.6%
3:0
4.5%
1:0
3.9%
4:2
3.7%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 84 | Points | 65 |
| 79% | Win % | 56% |
| 2.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
PSV Eindhoven at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Feyenoord Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven
D
W
W
W
Feyenoord
D
W
W
