1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.6 goals and Excelsior an expected 1.4 goals. Fortuna Sittard have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Excelsior at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
2:1
9%
1:0
8.2%
1:2
7.6%
0:1
6.9%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
6.2%
0:0
5.1%
3:1
4.9%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fortuna Sittard Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 13 |
| 39 | Points | 38 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Fortuna Sittard at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Excelsior Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fortuna Sittard
W
W
L
Excelsior
L
D
D
W
