1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
1.94
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.0 goals and Ajax an expected 1.9 goals. Sparta Rotterdam have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Ajax at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
10.6%
0:2
10.3%
1:1
10.3%
1:2
9.9%
0:3
6.7%
1:3
6.4%
0:0
5.5%
1:0
5.3%
2:1
4.9%
2:2
4.8%
0:4
3.2%
1:4
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ajax Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 43 | Points | 56 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Sparta Rotterdam at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Ajax Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L
D
Ajax
W
W
