1
29%
Home Win
3.43
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.2 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.5 goals. Pachuca have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
10.5%
1:2
9.2%
1:0
8%
0:2
7.9%
2:1
7%
0:0
6.9%
2:2
5.3%
2:0
4.7%
1:3
4.6%
0:3
4%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Pachuca | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 31 | Points | 36 |
| 53% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Pachuca at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Pachuca
L
W
W
L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
D
L
D
W
