Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 15 May 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.16
xG Away 1.51
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.2 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.5 goals. Pachuca have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
0:1 10.5%
1:2 9.2%
1:0 8%
0:2 7.9%
2:1 7%
0:0 6.9%
2:2 5.3%
2:0 4.7%
1:3 4.6%
0:3 4%
3:1 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Pachuca U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4 League Position 1
31 Points 36
53% Win % 59%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Pachuca at Home
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3 D3 L2 (8 games)
38% win rate

Recent Form

Pachuca
D L W W L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D L W D L