1
37%
Home Win
2.67
X
30%
Draw
3.3
2
32%
Away Win
3.1
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Osasuna an expected 1.1 goals and Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.0 goals. Osasuna have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Rayo Vallecano at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
12.9%
0:1
12.6%
2:0
7.4%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
3.5%
3:0
2.7%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Osasuna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 8 |
| 42 | Points | 50 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Osasuna at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Rayo Vallecano Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Osasuna
L
L
W
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
