1
28%
Home Win
3.63
X
26%
Draw
3.84
2
46%
Away Win
2.16
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Osasuna an expected 1.1 goals and Atlético Madrid an expected 1.5 goals. Osasuna have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Atlético Madrid at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
11.5%
1:2
9.1%
0:2
8.5%
1:0
8.4%
0:0
7.8%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
4.9%
2:0
4.5%
1:3
4.5%
0:3
4.2%
2:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlético Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Osasuna | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 4 |
| 42 | Points | 69 |
| 29% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Osasuna at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Atlético Madrid Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Osasuna
L
L
W
Atlético Madrid
L
W
W
L
L
Head to Head
Osasuna
1 : 2
Atlético Madrid
L
Atlético Madrid
1 : 0
Osasuna
L
Osasuna
2 : 0
Atlético Madrid
W
