Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.29
xG Away 1.38
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.3 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 1.4 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
0:1 9.6%
1:0 9%
1:2 8.5%
2:1 8%
0:0 6.9%
0:2 6.6%
2:0 5.8%
2:2 5.5%
1:3 3.9%
3:1 3.4%
0:3 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Nagoya Grampus Yokohama F. Marinos
16 League Position 15
43 Points 43
29% Win % 32%
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2 D2 L1 (5 games)
40% win rate
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W3 D3 L2 (8 games)
38% win rate

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
D L D W W
Yokohama F. Marinos
D D W D L