1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.3 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 1.4 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
9.6%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
8%
0:0
6.9%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
3.9%
3:1
3.4%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yokohama F. Marinos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Nagoya Grampus | Yokohama F. Marinos | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 15 |
| 43 | Points | 43 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W3
D3
L2
(8 games)
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus
D
L
D
W
W
Yokohama F. Marinos
D
D
W
D
L