1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.6 goals and Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.8 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Cerezo Osaka at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.7%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
7.6%
2:2
6.9%
0:1
6.2%
0:2
5.6%
1:0
5.4%
1:3
5.2%
2:0
4.2%
2:3
4.1%
3:1
4%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 10 |
| 43 | Points | 52 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Cerezo Osaka Away
W2
D2
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus
D
L
D
W
W
Cerezo Osaka
D
L
W
D
L
