1
26%
Home Win
3.83
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
49%
Away Win
2.05
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.57
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 1.1 goals and Tigres UANL an expected 1.6 goals. Monterrey have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Tigres UANL at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
11.1%
1:2
9.4%
0:2
8.7%
1:0
7.6%
0:0
7%
2:1
6.5%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
4.9%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
4.1%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 18 | Points | 25 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Tigres UANL Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
W
W
L
W
Tigres UANL
L
D
D
L
