1
23%
Home Win
4.35
X
23%
Draw
4.44
2
54%
Away Win
1.84
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.87
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.1 goals and Pachuca an expected 1.9 goals. León FC have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Pachuca at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.8%
0:1
9.2%
0:2
8.6%
1:3
6.1%
2:1
6%
1:0
5.6%
2:2
5.6%
0:3
5.4%
0:0
4.9%
2:3
3.5%
2:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| León FC | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 22 | Points | 31 |
| 41% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
León FC at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Pachuca Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
León FC
L
L
W
Pachuca
W
L
W
L
W
