1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.2 goals and Kashima an expected 1.2 goals. Kyoto Sanga have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Kashima at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
10.8%
1:0
10.4%
0:0
8.7%
1:2
8%
2:1
7.8%
0:2
6.7%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
3.3%
3:1
3.1%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Kyoto Sanga | Kashima | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 68 | Points | 76 |
| 50% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0
D0
L4
(4 games)
Kashima Away
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Kyoto Sanga
L
L
L
L
Kashima
D
L
L
D
L
