1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kawasaki Frontale an expected 1.8 goals and Fagiano Okayama an expected 1.0 goals. Kawasaki Frontale have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Fagiano Okayama at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.5%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.9%
0:0
5.9%
3:0
5.7%
1:2
5.7%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
3.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kawasaki Frontale Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Kawasaki Frontale | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 13 |
| 57 | Points | 45 |
| 39% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Kawasaki Frontale at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Fagiano Okayama Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kawasaki Frontale
W
D
W
L
W
Fagiano Okayama
L
W
W
W
L
