1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.10
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashiwa Reysol an expected 2.1 goals and Nagoya Grampus an expected 0.8 goals. Kashiwa Reysol have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Nagoya Grampus at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.1%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9.3%
3:0
8.5%
3:1
6.8%
0:0
5.5%
4:0
4.4%
0:1
4.4%
2:2
3.9%
1:2
3.7%
4:1
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Kashiwa Reysol | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 16 |
| 75 | Points | 43 |
| 55% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Kashiwa Reysol at Home
W1
D1
L5
(7 games)
Nagoya Grampus Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Kashiwa Reysol
L
L
W
L
L
Nagoya Grampus
L
L
L
W
W
