1
50%
Home Win
2
X
23%
Draw
4.4
2
27%
Away Win
3.67
xG Home
1.84
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heerenveen an expected 1.8 goals and Telstar an expected 1.3 goals. Heerenveen have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Telstar at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.5%
1:0
7.9%
2:0
7.3%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
6.2%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
5.6%
3:0
4.5%
0:0
4.3%
3:2
3.8%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heerenveen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Heerenveen | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 14 |
| 51 | Points | 37 |
| 41% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Heerenveen at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Telstar Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Heerenveen
W
Telstar
L
D
