1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
25%
Draw
4.03
2
29%
Away Win
3.45
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gamba Osaka an expected 1.6 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 1.2 goals. Gamba Osaka have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FC Tokyo at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
7.7%
0:1
7.4%
1:2
7.1%
0:0
6.1%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
4.9%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gamba Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Gamba Osaka | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 57 | Points | 50 |
| 45% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Gamba Osaka at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
FC Tokyo Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka
D
L
W
L
FC Tokyo
D
W
