1
24%
Home Win
4.11
X
25%
Draw
3.99
2
51%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
1.02
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Tokyo an expected 1.0 goals and Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.6 goals. FC Tokyo have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Kyoto Sanga at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
0:1
11.6%
1:2
9.5%
0:2
9.3%
1:0
7.5%
0:0
7.3%
2:1
6.1%
1:3
5%
0:3
4.9%
2:2
4.9%
2:0
3.8%
2:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 50 | Points | 68 |
| 34% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
FC Tokyo at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Kyoto Sanga Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Tokyo
L
W
L
W
W
Kyoto Sanga
W
L
L
D
L
