FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.87
xG Away 1.54
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 46%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Tokyo an expected 0.9 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.5 goals. FC Tokyo have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.8%
1:1 12%
0:2 10.7%
1:2 9.3%
0:0 9%
1:0 7.8%
0:3 5.5%
2:1 5.2%
1:3 4.8%
2:2 4%
2:0 3.4%
0:4 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol
11 League Position 2
50 Points 75
34% Win % 55%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89

Venue Form

FC Tokyo at Home
W6 D0 L2 (8 games)
75% win rate
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W4 D0 L2 (6 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

FC Tokyo
W W W L W
Kashiwa Reysol
W W W W L