1
28%
Home Win
3.61
X
23%
Draw
4.44
2
50%
Away Win
2.01
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
1.87
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Juarez an expected 1.3 goals and Pachuca an expected 1.9 goals. FC Juarez have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Pachuca at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
1:2
9.4%
0:1
7.5%
0:2
7%
2:1
6.8%
2:2
6.4%
1:3
5.9%
1:0
5.4%
0:3
4.4%
0:0
4%
2:3
4%
2:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| FC Juarez | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 19 | Points | 31 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
FC Juarez at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Pachuca Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Juarez
L
W
Pachuca
W
L
W
L
W
