Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.70
xG Away 1.06
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
BTTS 33%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.7 goals and Vissel Kobe an expected 1.1 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Vissel Kobe at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 74%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 18.2%
0:0 17.2%
1:1 12.8%
1:0 12.1%
0:2 9.6%
1:2 6.8%
2:1 4.5%
2:0 4.2%
0:3 3.4%
1:3 2.4%
2:2 2.4%
3:1 1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Vissel Kobe Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Fagiano Okayama Vissel Kobe
13 League Position 5
45 Points 64
32% Win % 47%
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87

Venue Form

Fagiano Okayama at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
Vissel Kobe Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Fagiano Okayama
L W D W W
Vissel Kobe
W L D L