1
20%
Home Win
4.9
X
33%
Draw
3.01
2
46%
Away Win
2.16
xG Home
0.59
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.6 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.1 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20.3%
0:0
19.2%
1:1
12%
1:0
11.4%
0:2
10.7%
1:2
6.4%
0:3
3.8%
2:1
3.6%
2:0
3.4%
1:3
2.2%
2:2
1.9%
0:4
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Fagiano Okayama | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 45 | Points | 68 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
D
W
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
W
L
