1
16%
Home Win
6.36
X
20%
Draw
5.07
2
65%
Away Win
1.55
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
2.14
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estrela da Amadora an expected 1.0 goals and SC Braga an expected 2.1 goals. Estrela da Amadora have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and SC Braga at 65%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.4%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.7%
1:1
9.3%
0:3
7.4%
1:3
7.1%
2:2
4.7%
0:0
4.5%
2:1
4.4%
1:0
4.3%
0:4
4%
1:4
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| Estrela da Amadora | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 4 |
| 30 | Points | 59 |
| 18% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Estrela da Amadora at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
SC Braga Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Estrela da Amadora
D
L
W
SC Braga
D
L
W
