1
20%
Home Win
4.88
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
52%
Away Win
1.92
xG Home
0.77
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estrela da Amadora an expected 0.8 goals and Famalicao an expected 1.4 goals. Estrela da Amadora have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Famalicao at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16%
1:1
12.3%
0:0
11.4%
0:2
11.2%
1:0
8.7%
1:2
8.6%
0:3
5.3%
2:1
4.7%
1:3
4%
2:0
3.4%
2:2
3.3%
0:4
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Famalicao Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Estrela da Amadora | Famalicao | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 5 |
| 30 | Points | 56 |
| 18% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Estrela da Amadora at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Famalicao Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Estrela da Amadora
D
L
W
Famalicao
D
W
D
