1
39%
Home Win
2.58
X
26%
Draw
3.83
2
35%
Away Win
2.85
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Espanyol an expected 1.4 goals and Elche an expected 1.3 goals. Espanyol have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Elche at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
9.7%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8%
0:0
7.1%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
5.4%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Espanyol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Espanyol | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 15 |
| 46 | Points | 43 |
| 32% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Espanyol at Home
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Elche Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Espanyol
D
W
L
D
L
Elche
L
L
W
