1
43%
Home Win
2.34
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
31%
Away Win
3.28
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Espanyol an expected 1.4 goals and Athletic Club an expected 1.1 goals. Espanyol have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Athletic Club at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
11.3%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.8%
0:0
8.1%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
7.1%
0:2
5.1%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
4%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Espanyol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Espanyol | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 12 |
| 46 | Points | 45 |
| 32% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Espanyol at Home
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Athletic Club Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Espanyol
D
W
L
D
L
Athletic Club
L
W
L
Head to Head
Espanyol
–
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Espanyol
W
Espanyol
1 : 1
Athletic Club
D
