1
12%
Home Win
8.24
X
16%
Draw
6.21
2
72%
Away Win
1.4
xG Home
0.98
xG Away
2.58
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Elche an expected 1.0 goals and Barcelona an expected 2.6 goals. Elche have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Barcelona at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
9.5%
1:2
9.3%
0:3
8.1%
1:3
8%
0:1
7.4%
1:1
7.2%
0:4
5.2%
1:4
5.1%
2:2
4.5%
2:3
3.9%
2:1
3.5%
0:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barcelona Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Elche | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 1 |
| 43 | Points | 94 |
| 26% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Elche at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Barcelona Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Elche
D
W
W
Barcelona
W
W
W
