1
45%
Home Win
2.23
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
30%
Away Win
3.36
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Elche an expected 1.5 goals and Alavés an expected 1.2 goals. Elche have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Alavés at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.2%
0:1
7.9%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
7.2%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Elche Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Elche | Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 14 |
| 43 | Points | 43 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Elche at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Alavés Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Elche
L
D
W
W
Alavés
D
L
