1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.52
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Club Tijuana an expected 1.3 goals and Puebla an expected 0.5 goals. Club Tijuana have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Puebla at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.9%
0:0
15.5%
2:0
14.1%
1:1
10.8%
0:1
8%
2:1
7.3%
3:0
6.3%
3:1
3.3%
1:2
2.8%
4:0
2.1%
0:2
2.1%
2:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Club Tijuana Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Club Tijuana | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 17 |
| 23 | Points | 13 |
| 29% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Club Tijuana at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Puebla Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Club Tijuana
L
L
W
W
Puebla
L
W
L
W
L
