1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
26%
Draw
3.81
2
26%
Away Win
3.87
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Celta de Vigo an expected 1.5 goals and Osasuna an expected 1.0 goals. Celta de Vigo have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Osasuna at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
12.4%
2:1
9.1%
2:0
9.1%
0:1
8.4%
0:0
8.4%
1:2
6.2%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Celta de Vigo | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 17 |
| 54 | Points | 42 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Celta de Vigo at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Osasuna Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Celta de Vigo
L
W
L
Osasuna
L
L
