1
54%
Home Win
1.84
X
24%
Draw
4.18
2
22%
Away Win
4.61
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Celta de Vigo an expected 1.7 goals and Athletic Club an expected 1.0 goals. Celta de Vigo have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Athletic Club at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.6%
1:1
11.4%
2:0
9.9%
2:1
9.7%
0:0
6.8%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
5.6%
1:2
5.6%
3:1
5.5%
2:2
4.8%
0:2
3.3%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Celta de Vigo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 54 | Points | 45 |
| 37% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Celta de Vigo at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Athletic Club Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Celta de Vigo
L
W
L
Athletic Club
L
W
L
