1
83%
Home Win
1.21
X
11%
Draw
9.1
2
6%
Away Win
16.98
xG Home
3.06
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Barcelona an expected 3.1 goals and Athletic Club an expected 0.7 goals. Barcelona have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Athletic Club at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
10.7%
2:0
10.5%
4:0
8.2%
3:1
7.9%
2:1
7.7%
1:0
6.9%
4:1
6%
1:1
5.1%
3:2
2.9%
2:2
2.9%
0:0
2.2%
4:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barcelona Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 83% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.2 |
| Market Odds | 1.28 |
Team Comparison
| Barcelona | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 12 |
| 94 | Points | 45 |
| 82% | Win % | 34% |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Barcelona at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Athletic Club Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Barcelona
W
W
Athletic Club
L
W
L
