1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Avispa Fukuoka an expected 1.2 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 1.1 goals. Avispa Fukuoka have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Gamba Osaka at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.4%
0:1
11.4%
0:0
10.6%
2:1
7.8%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7.2%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3%
3:0
2.8%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Avispa Fukuoka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Avispa Fukuoka | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 9 |
| 48 | Points | 57 |
| 32% | Win % | 45% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Avispa Fukuoka at Home
W0
D4
L1
(5 games)
Gamba Osaka Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Avispa Fukuoka
L
D
D
D
D
Gamba Osaka
L
W
L
L
