1
50%
Home Win
2
X
24%
Draw
4.09
2
26%
Away Win
3.91
xG Home
1.65
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlético Madrid an expected 1.7 goals and Celta de Vigo an expected 1.1 goals. Atlético Madrid have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Celta de Vigo at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
10.4%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
8.6%
0:1
7%
1:2
6.4%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
5.3%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlético Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Atlético Madrid | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 69 | Points | 54 |
| 55% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Atlético Madrid at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Celta de Vigo Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Atlético Madrid
L
W
Celta de Vigo
D
W
L
L
Head to Head
Celta de Vigo
1 : 1
Atlético Madrid
D
Atlético Madrid
1 : 1
Celta de Vigo
D
Celta de Vigo
0 : 1
Atlético Madrid
W
