1
41%
Home Win
2.45
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
33%
Away Win
2.99
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Athletic Club an expected 1.4 goals and Sevilla FC an expected 1.3 goals. Athletic Club have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sevilla FC at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.9%
0:0
6.7%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Athletic Club Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Athletic Club | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 13 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 34% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Athletic Club at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Sevilla FC Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Athletic Club
L
W
Sevilla FC
W
L
L
W
