1
40%
Home Win
2.53
X
27%
Draw
3.76
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Athletic Club an expected 1.3 goals and Alavés an expected 1.2 goals. Athletic Club have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Alavés at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
10.4%
0:1
9.5%
2:1
8.5%
0:0
7.8%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
7%
0:2
5.8%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
3.1%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Athletic Club Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Athletic Club | Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 14 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 34% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Athletic Club at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Alavés Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Athletic Club
W
L
W
Alavés
D
L
