1
36%
Home Win
2.81
X
33%
Draw
3.02
2
31%
Away Win
3.18
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Alavés an expected 0.9 goals and Getafe an expected 0.9 goals. Alavés have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Getafe at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
16.8%
1:0
15.6%
0:1
14.4%
1:1
13.3%
2:0
7.3%
2:1
6.2%
0:2
6.1%
1:2
5.7%
2:2
2.6%
3:0
2.2%
3:1
1.9%
0:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Alavés Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Alavés | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 7 |
| 43 | Points | 51 |
| 29% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Alavés at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Getafe Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Alavés
L
W
Getafe
D
W
