ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.72
xG Away 1.27
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives ADO Den Haag an expected 1.7 goals and Heerenveen an expected 1.3 goals. ADO Den Haag have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Heerenveen at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.7%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick ADO Den Haag Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Venue Form

ADO Den Haag at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Heerenveen Away
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

ADO Den Haag
D
Heerenveen
W L L W