Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.26
xG Away 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.3 goals and Jagiellonia an expected 1.2 goals. Zaglebie Lubin have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Jagiellonia at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.8%
1:0 10.3%
0:1 10.2%
0:0 8.2%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 8%
2:0 6.5%
0:2 6.3%
2:2 5%
3:1 3.4%
1:3 3.3%
3:0 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Zaglebie Lubin Win
Probability 37%
Predicted Odds 2.7
Market Odds 2.88

Team Comparison

Zaglebie Lubin Jagiellonia
7 League Position 3
48 Points 56
38% Win % 44%
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

Zaglebie Lubin at Home
W2 D1 L3 (6 games)
33% win rate
Jagiellonia Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Zaglebie Lubin
L W W L D
Jagiellonia
W W