Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.21
xG Away 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 46%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Piast Gliwice an expected 1.2 goals and Cracovia Krakow an expected 1.1 goals. Piast Gliwice have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Cracovia Krakow at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 12.6%
0:1 11%
0:0 10.5%
2:1 8%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7%
0:2 5.8%
2:2 4.2%
3:1 3.2%
3:0 3.1%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Piast Gliwice Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Piast Gliwice Cracovia Krakow
15 League Position 13
41 Points 42
32% Win % 26%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Piast Gliwice at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Cracovia Krakow Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Piast Gliwice
W L D W
Cracovia Krakow
L L D L W