Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.45
xG Away 0.82
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.5 goals and Wisla Plock an expected 0.8 goals. Jagiellonia have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Wisla Plock at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15%
1:1 12.3%
2:0 10.9%
0:0 10.3%
2:1 8.9%
0:1 8.4%
3:0 5.3%
1:2 5%
3:1 4.3%
2:2 3.6%
0:2 3.4%
4:0 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jagiellonia Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92
Market Odds 2.05

Team Comparison

Jagiellonia Wisla Plock
3 League Position 8
56 Points 46
44% Win % 35%
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Jagiellonia at Home
W3 D0 L2 (5 games)
60% win rate
Wisla Plock Away
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Jagiellonia
W L W W L
Wisla Plock
L W D W L