Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.70
xG Away 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 63%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.7 goals and Radomiak Radom an expected 1.5 goals. Pogoń Szczecin have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Radomiak Radom at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
2:1 8.9%
1:2 7.8%
1:0 7%
2:2 6.6%
0:1 6.1%
2:0 5.9%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.6%
0:0 4.1%
1:3 3.9%
3:2 3.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pogoń Szczecin Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Pogoń Szczecin Radomiak Radom
9 League Position 10
45 Points 44
38% Win % 32%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Pogoń Szczecin at Home
W4 D1 L2 (7 games)
57% win rate
Radomiak Radom Away
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Pogoń Szczecin
W W D L W
Radomiak Radom
L L D D W

Head to Head

06 Dec 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin 2 : 2 Radomiak Radom
D
20 Jul 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom 5 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
L
10 May 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom 2 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
L