Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.23
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.2 goals and GKS Katowice an expected 1.2 goals. Korona Kielce have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and GKS Katowice at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13%
1:0 10.9%
0:1 10.6%
0:0 8.9%
2:1 8%
1:2 7.8%
2:0 6.7%
0:2 6.3%
2:2 4.8%
3:1 3.3%
1:3 3.1%
3:0 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Korona Kielce Win
Probability 37%
Predicted Odds 2.7
Market Odds 2.88

Team Comparison

Korona Kielce GKS Katowice
11 League Position 5
43 Points 50
32% Win % 41%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

Korona Kielce at Home
W2 D3 L1 (6 games)
33% win rate
GKS Katowice Away
W0 D2 L3 (5 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Korona Kielce
W L D W D
GKS Katowice
L L L D D